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16 Feb 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.1%
Levante
21.9%
Draw
18.0%
Sporting Gijón

Expected Goals (xG)

1.88

Levante

vs
0.92

Sporting Gijón

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.6%
2-0
10.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).