Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.9%
Sociedad
21.8%
Draw
21.4%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Sociedad
vs
1.17
Elche
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
0-1
4.6%
0-0
4.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).