Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Crotone
28.9%
Draw
30.3%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Crotone
vs
1.17
Ternana
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.5%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.8%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).