Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.5%
Chesterfield
16.5%
Draw
17.0%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
3.01
Chesterfield
vs
1.56
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS75.4%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.594.6%
Over 2.583.3%
Over 3.566.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
5.7%
2-2
5.7%
4-1
5.5%
1-1
5.3%
3-0
4.7%
2-0
4.7%
4-2
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).