Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.3%
Lazio
23.8%
Draw
13.8%
Verona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Lazio
vs
0.61
Verona
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.538.7%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
2-0
14.1%
0-0
10.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
7.7%
0-1
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
4-0
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
0-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).