Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
Erzurum BB
32.6%
Draw
21.7%
Karagumruk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Erzurum BB
vs
0.96
Karagumruk
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.6%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
6.0%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).