Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.7%
Gateshead
23.6%
Draw
22.7%
Maidstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Gateshead
vs
1.22
Maidstone
Markets
BTTS61.4%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.0%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.2%
0-0
5.0%
0-1
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).