Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.7%
Sutton
21.1%
Draw
29.2%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Sutton
vs
1.45
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS65.3%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.566.1%
Over 3.544.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.2%
1-1
9.0%
1-0
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
5.2%
3-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).