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27 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.5%
West Brom
26.3%
Draw
16.2%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

West Brom

vs
0.76

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS44.0%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
12.2%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).