Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.7%
Lecce
23.6%
Draw
12.7%
Vicenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Lecce
vs
0.72
Vicenza
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.2%
1-0
13.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).