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AHT: 01CSV

28 Sept 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.7%
Wolves
25.0%
Draw
58.3%
Liverpool

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Wolves

vs
1.88

Liverpool

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.8%
0-0
7.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
1-0
4.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-4
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).