Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
Cartagena
26.2%
Draw
29.9%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Cartagena
vs
1.11
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.0%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).