Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
St Pauli
32.2%
Draw
33.0%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
St Pauli
vs
1.02
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS42.7%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.562.4%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.6%
1-0
12.2%
0-1
11.8%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).