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13 Sept 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.3%
Coventry
23.5%
Draw
21.2%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.96

Coventry

vs
1.15

Norwich

Markets

BTTS59.6%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
0-0
5.3%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).