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05 Mar 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.8%
Frosinone
27.5%
Draw
39.7%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Frosinone

vs
1.48

Venezia

Markets

BTTS57.9%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).