Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Oldham
31.5%
Draw
22.5%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Oldham
vs
0.80
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.9%
2-0
10.1%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).