Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.1%
Holstein Kiel
27.0%
Draw
48.9%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Holstein Kiel
vs
1.63
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).