Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.9%
Monza
18.2%
Draw
7.9%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Monza
vs
0.63
Avellino
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.532.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.2%
1-0
11.8%
3-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.3%
4-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
2-2
2.8%
5-0
2.8%
0-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).