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29 Nov 2025 · 15:00

Crewe

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.0%
Cambridge
26.5%
Draw
20.5%
Crewe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Cambridge

vs
0.75

Crewe

Markets

BTTS39.1%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.517.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
11.2%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).