Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
Lugano
25.4%
Draw
17.0%
Zürich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Lugano
vs
0.99
Zürich
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
0-1
3.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).