Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Fulham
27.4%
Draw
30.1%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Fulham
vs
1.34
Leeds
Markets
BTTS60.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
0-0
6.8%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).