Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.3%
Burnley
8.6%
Draw
1.1%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
2.78
Burnley
vs
0.19
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS16.1%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
19.9%
3-0
18.5%
1-0
14.1%
4-0
12.8%
5-0
7.1%
0-0
5.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
1-1
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
0-1
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).