Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.1%
Doncaster
17.2%
Draw
11.7%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Doncaster
vs
0.76
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.3%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-0
5.2%
0-0
4.6%
0-1
4.2%
4-1
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).