Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.3%
RB Leipzig
23.8%
Draw
19.9%
Union Berlin
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
RB Leipzig
vs
1.04
Union Berlin
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.555.7%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
3-0
6.0%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).