Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.2%
Luton
27.1%
Draw
17.7%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Luton
vs
0.79
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
11.7%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.4%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.6%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).