Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.9%
Altay
31.0%
Draw
32.1%
Hatayspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Altay
vs
1.37
Hatayspor
Markets
BTTS60.4%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
0-2
5.5%
0-1
5.0%
3-1
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).