Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.7%
Genoa
17.0%
Draw
5.3%
Cosenza
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
Genoa
vs
0.45
Cosenza
Markets
BTTS33.1%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
17.0%
1-0
14.6%
3-0
12.7%
2-1
7.7%
1-1
7.6%
0-0
7.5%
4-0
7.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-0
3.2%
0-1
2.4%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).