Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.3%
Coventry
24.6%
Draw
17.1%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Coventry
vs
0.88
Stoke
Markets
BTTS49.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.0%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).