Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.8%
Nantes
33.6%
Draw
29.5%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Nantes
vs
0.77
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS31.5%
Over 0.581.5%
Over 1.549.3%
Over 2.523.4%
Over 3.58.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.5%
1-0
17.3%
0-1
14.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
2.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
0-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).