Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.5%
Santander
21.0%
Draw
19.4%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Santander
vs
1.05
Albacete
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.559.1%
Over 3.536.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
0-1
5.0%
0-0
4.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).