Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.2%
Baltika Kaliningrad
26.5%
Draw
10.3%
Lokomotiv Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Baltika Kaliningrad
vs
0.51
Lokomotiv Moskva
Markets
BTTS33.3%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.1%
2-0
15.5%
0-0
13.1%
1-1
11.1%
3-0
8.3%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
5.0%
3-1
4.3%
4-0
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-2
2.0%
4-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).