Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.7%
Benfica
12.8%
Draw
7.5%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
3.09
Benfica
vs
0.92
Estoril
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.591.4%
Over 2.576.4%
Over 3.557.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
4-0
6.9%
4-1
6.3%
1-1
5.5%
1-0
5.2%
5-0
4.3%
5-1
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).