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AHT: 11CSV

29 Sept 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.5%
Holstein Kiel
18.5%
Draw
53.0%
Ein Frankfurt

Expected Goals (xG)

2.05

Holstein Kiel

vs
2.75

Ein Frankfurt

Markets

BTTS81.9%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.595.6%
Over 2.585.8%
Over 3.570.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-2
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
6.0%
1-3
5.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
4.5%
2-4
4.1%
3-3
4.1%
1-4
4.0%
3-1
3.2%
0-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).