Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.1%
Zaragoza
29.8%
Draw
34.2%
Numancia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Zaragoza
vs
1.03
Numancia
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.587.7%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
13.3%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
12.3%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).