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12 Mar 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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71.2%
Nott'm Forest
20.0%
Draw
8.8%
Reading

Expected Goals (xG)

2.05

Nott'm Forest

vs
0.59

Reading

Markets

BTTS39.4%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.0%
1-0
14.0%
3-0
10.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
7.8%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
5.3%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
1-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).