Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.6%
Istra 1961
30.2%
Draw
24.2%
Gorica
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Istra 1961
vs
0.96
Gorica
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).