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23 Nov 2025 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.1%
St. Gallen
25.5%
Draw
20.4%
Lausanne Sport

Expected Goals (xG)

1.95

St. Gallen

vs
1.15

Lausanne Sport

Markets

BTTS60.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.537.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
7.0%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
3-2
3.7%
0-1
3.4%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).