Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.0%
Newcastle
19.0%
Draw
28.0%
Evesham United
Expected Goals (xG)
2.39
Newcastle
vs
1.72
Evesham United
Markets
BTTS74.3%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.591.4%
Over 2.577.7%
Over 3.558.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
1-1
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
3-2
5.5%
2-0
4.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-3
4.0%
4-1
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).