Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.9%
Estrela
23.7%
Draw
55.4%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Estrela
vs
1.63
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-1
11.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
7.5%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).