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02 Aug 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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73.9%
Zagłębie Lubin
16.5%
Draw
9.6%
Puszcza Niepołomice

Expected Goals (xG)

2.59

Zagłębie Lubin

vs
0.86

Puszcza Niepołomice

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.567.1%
Over 3.545.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.6%
3-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
7.7%
1-0
7.6%
4-0
5.9%
4-1
5.1%
2-2
4.0%
0-0
3.8%
3-2
3.4%
5-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).