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HHT: 10

17 Sept 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.7%
Leiston
19.4%
Draw
67.9%
Brentwood Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.72

Leiston

vs
2.00

Brentwood Town

Markets

BTTS44.0%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
1-1
9.2%
0-3
8.8%
1-3
6.3%
0-0
6.3%
1-0
5.0%
0-4
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
1-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).