Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.2%
Valladolid
31.5%
Draw
39.3%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Valladolid
vs
1.10
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).