Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.4%
Cultural Leonesa
19.8%
Draw
61.8%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Cultural Leonesa
vs
2.17
Almeria
Markets
BTTS58.9%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.541.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.0%
0-2
9.0%
0-1
8.4%
1-3
7.1%
0-3
6.5%
2-2
5.4%
2-1
5.0%
1-0
4.3%
2-3
3.9%
1-4
3.9%
0-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).