Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.4%
Monza
18.7%
Draw
9.0%
Mantova
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Monza
vs
0.70
Mantova
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.3%
1-0
10.9%
3-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.9%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
4.0%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
0-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).