Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.5%
Swindon
19.1%
Draw
19.3%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Swindon
vs
1.16
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
7.2%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-1
4.0%
4-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).