Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Watford
28.5%
Draw
24.0%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Watford
vs
0.95
West Brom
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.2%
0-0
10.0%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).