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10 Mar 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.8%
Samsunspor
35.1%
Draw
23.1%
Ankaragucu

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Samsunspor

vs
0.91

Ankaragucu

Markets

BTTS46.5%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.517.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.3%
0-0
14.4%
1-0
11.0%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).