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02 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.5%
Histon
21.4%
Draw
35.1%
Hertford Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.88

Histon

vs
1.67

Hertford Town

Markets

BTTS68.5%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.568.9%
Over 3.547.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
1-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
5.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-2
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
2-3
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).