Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.6%
Rotherham
25.6%
Draw
27.8%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Rotherham
vs
0.96
Northampton
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
10.7%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).