Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.1%
Leicester
20.6%
Draw
68.3%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Leicester
vs
2.24
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.7%
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.3%
0-3
8.8%
1-3
7.2%
0-0
5.9%
0-4
4.9%
1-4
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
2-1
3.5%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).